Restart Int. predicts win for Mahama

 President John Mahama

President John Mahama

As the country holds its general elections this Wednesday, December 7, quite a number of organisations and institutions have organised opinion polls with varying results.

While the Bureau of National Investigations, journalist pollster Ben Ephson, as well as the London-based Economic Intelligence Unit (in its lastest poll) have all predicted resounding victory for the incumbent, President John Dramani Mahama, a group of lecturers at the Political Science Department of the University of Ghana have said it is likely Nana Addo Dankwa Akuffo Addo, the leader of the main opposition party, New Patriotic Party, will win.

The latest institution to come out with its poll is the Restart International which has also predicted a one-touch victory for President Mahama.
The poll, conducted by Restart International and released at the weekend, predicted a one -touch win for President Mahama by 54.7% and 43.7% for the NPP presidential candidate.

It was conducted in all 275 constituencies with a sampling size of 2000 respondents, with methodology such as full multi-stage sampling and opinion poll, days code sampling gap of 1/3 in high density areas, households selection grid, as well as random walk, etc.

The most critical election issues identified were led by peace, stability and security scoring 76.82%; education scored 70.91%; others such as health, agriculture, and infrastructure also scored 73.51%.

With regards to economy and jobs, the electorate scored its importance at 40.99%.

A key outcome was that electorate placed peace higher on the priority list of what would determine their vote.
On electricity specifically, the respondents said they had seen improvement in the power issue both in terms of stability and tariff reduction.

On parliamentary seats, the report said “the NDC will bask in 173 in all, with NPP taking 103 seats”.

Possible 50/50 situations fell on the following constituencies; Bimbila, Achiase, Abuakwa North and South, Fanteakwa South, Nsuta/Kwamang/Beposo, Atwima Mponua, Kintampo South, Sunyani West, Dorman East, Tarkwa Nsuaem, Sekondi, Effia, Asikuma/Odoben/Brakwa, Assin Central, Tema West, Tema East, Okaikoi North and Ayawaso Central.

Restart International’s work comes on the back of their 2012 opinion polls which predicted a one-touch victory for the NDC with 53.7% and a parliamentary seat of 155, but won by 50.1% with 148 seats.

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